who would win a war between australia and china

I do not think there is any credible chance that America, with or without Australia's support, could win a war with China over Taiwan. "Australia should use all the means at its disposal to avert a war with China. On the military front, the United States should accelerate programs already underway to strengthen and disperse American forces in the Western Pacific to make them less vulnerable to attacks by China. 2. Supply chains of some critical goods and services need to be reconfigured to shift production to the United States or allied nations, and the United States must pursue a longer-term strategic drive to restore its dominance in global manufacturing. Where are our statesmen?". It is for that reason that some commentators, including me, do not think that China is likely to initiate an offensive war in the near future, until it is sure that it has enough mass to win quickly. The US believes China has about 2000 mid-range missiles in place, which could ward off the US Navy in a conflict. The consequences for us would be very serious in terms of the Australian economy, the impact on the Australian people and the ravages to our way of life throughout the land. "The defence of Taiwan is predicated on a Chinese invasion but if China's main effort is not an invasion but a blockade, then what? One real threat mistaken for a bluff. "Australia should take a position where averting war is a serious policy objective. And in a defensive war, China has the enormous advantage of mass, as Stalin demonstrated after the end of 1942.". Answer (1 of 34): I must assume Brian Greenhow is joking, but if he is not I must point out that wars aren't won by population numbers or imaginary 'allies', but by real Alliances, either historical or by treaty, and by technology, military hardware, political maneuvers, industry and money, lots . "This would be followed by a sea-crossing phase, a landing phase and a consolidation phase. "The irrational elements thus make direct large-scale confrontation between two nuclear powers very dangerous. I am sure that survivors of war may have a more considered view. Mr. Xi has championed Chinas political warfare capabilities as a magic weapon.. China is aware of this gap. Chinas 1264 warplanes, meanwhile, are based in China. In its consequences, it would be profoundly and devastatingly different. An earlier government tinkered with the concept of a reduction in the ten years of warning but did almost nothing about demonstrating seriousness. Allan Behm, now head of the international and security program at The Australia Institute, says were the US and China to go to war over the next five to 10 years the best potential outcome for the US is a stalemate. At the last G20 foreign ministers' meeting, in Bali last summer, Lavrov walked out amid condemnations of Russia's war and its impact on global food and energy costs. But rhetoric about the international rules-based order and Chinas failure to sign up to all its provisions seems to be "lecturing and hectoring" rather than working assiduously on overcoming differences of perspective. Also, we do not have the equivalent of the Chilcott report to illuminate the story. China has demonstrated its capabilities already, including in Taiwan, where it has waged disinformation campaigns, and in serious hacking incidents in the United States. We hope that Australia will fully understand the high sensitivity of the Taiwan issue, adhere to our One China principle, be cautious in its words and actions, refrain from sending any wrong signals to the secessionist forces of Taiwan independence, a foreign ministry spokesperson said. Reinforcing Taiwan would likely involve long and bloody battles at sea as underarmed escorts struggle to protect the few but highly vulnerable available transports. Some 64 percent of Australians viewed a potential military conflict between the U.S. and China as a "critical threat" to Australia's national interests, behind Russia's foreign policy (68 percent . Vietnam and Iraq were illegal wars, with the US Administration(s) lying to their citizens and their allies about the strategic necessity and the morality of the use of armed force. Taiwans Foreign Minister Joseph Wu said on June 3 that Taipei did not anticipate a conflict was going to break out any time soon, but we are trying to get ourselves ready. Its military budget is greater than the combined expenditure of India, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. There are plenty of nations with grievances against China for its South China Sea policy. Thinking of scale I am reminded that In 1944 the US alone out-produced the rest of the world combined in all war stores before the wars ended in 1945. Beyond 10 years, who knows? This means any idea of sustained operations within the Pacific-spanning reach of Chinas ballistic and cruise missiles is likely optimistic. According to the late Sir James Plimsoll [in conversation with me], Mao Zedong said to Prime Minister Nehru when the two met in 1954 that, in a war with any adversary China could afford to dedicate 100 million dead. Mr. Xi, who likes to say that the East is rising while the West is declining, evidently feels that Americas greatest weakness is on its home front. Don't Do It: An All-Out War With China Could End Humanity It is a bad idea to get into a shooting war with a fellow nuclear power. China might compound this with electronic and probably some physical attacks on satellites or related infrastructure. "This decision over the possibility of war with China could be made more difficult because of ANZUS. "As I see the decision for the invasion of Iraq I think it was made by the Prime Minister. Despite this, U.S. military planners would prefer to fight a conventional war. ", Any US-China war would be primarily a maritime conflict, and it would be, as we have seen, on a scale unprecedented since the Second World War. What would war with China look like for Australia? The US will pursue the following war aims: 1. The capital of China is Beijing. The high-altitude balloon that drifted across the United States this month was seen by many Americans as a shocking Chinese breach of U.S. sovereignty. The Australian government has moved to confront Beijing over allegations of human rights abuses in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, and Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian has joined a chorus of. But which one would have military superiority in outright conflict? Critically, the United States is no longer able to outproduce China in advanced weapons and other supplies needed in a war, which the current one in Ukraine has made clear. This is how we got here and what needs to change, 'Please confirm what Muslim refers to': Why Ali's birthday payment for his nephew was flagged by his bank, Kade was a fit 31-year-old when he died from a heart attack, Sherpa are world famous for their work, which is synonymous with their name. "China's IADS makes a blockade the most likely scenario. Today, Chinas military spending is the second-highest in the world after the United States and continues to rise. What would war with China look like for Australia? Inflation and unemployment would surge, especially in the period in which the economy is repurposed for the war effort, which might include some automobile manufacturers switching to building aircraft or food-processing companies converting to production of priority pharmaceuticals. The most immediate fight, however, appears to be centred on Taiwan. "People in those days, in the spirit of compromise and understanding, were prepared to work together, if only for a short time. Nor can a military modelled in its image. "I hope they don't mean that, just as Britain has the Gurkhas, the Americans have us. It can impose costs on our forces. No doubt Australian passions would run high. We cannot lose a single inch of the lands we inherited from our ancestors, the Chinese Defense Ministrys Information Bureau recently proclaimed, and we would not take a single cent of others possessions., RELATED: Drums of war: Ominous China warning. Who would win in a battle between the U.S. and Australia? There are still hundreds of diplomats and politicians around the world including in Canberra working openly and behind the scenes to ensuretensions between China and the US never escalate into war. This article was originally published by Radio Free Asia and is reprinted with permission. A major war in the Indo-Pacific is probably more likely now than at any other time since World War II. And Beijings new navy has been in almost a constant string of live fire exercises for the past year. And that is where any fight to resolve Taiwan's fate will be resolved. And that makes the kind of island-hopping campaign used by the US to take back the Pacific from Japan in World War II no longer feasible. But China is a different kind of foe a military, economic and technological power capable of making a war felt in the American homeland. India and Pakistan take pains to avoid such escalation. A blockade, he says, would mean 80 per cent of ships and aircraft would be unable to pass. "It is possible that the impact on Australia could be greater than any other assailant because of our low population. Australians could wake up one morning to the news that we are at war with China. And Australia could be fighting for its survival. Australia's oldest running coal-fired power station is about to close. This is how we got here and what needs to change, 'Please confirm what Muslim refers to': Why Ali's birthday payment for his nephew was flagged by his bank, Kade was a fit 31-year-old when he died from a heart attack, Sherpa are world famous for their work, which is synonymous with their name. The war has exposed divisions within the G20 that go beyond Russia and China. Six large amphibious vessels have been launched, three since 2015, and a third aircraft carrier, larger than its predecessors, will soon be completed. Guam is 1,300 nautical miles and Honolulu (Pearl Harbor) is over 4,200 nautical miles from Taiwan. "China can impose huge costs on the US and perhaps indefinitely deny air control to the US in that zone. Australia is especially exposed. The United States might be forced to confront the shocking realization that the industrial muscle instrumental in victories like that in World War II President Franklin Roosevelts concept of America as the arsenal of democracy has withered and been surpassed by China. by Robert Farley L Here's What You Need to. "That is one reason to expect a stalemate.". Five-centuries-old saffron and ginger found preserved in shipwreck off Sweden, Chinese migrants walked a gruelling 500km to Victoria's goldfields in the 19th century. If that's what they mean, their view should be rejected in favour of Australian sovereignty and parliamentary authorisation.". A former US Army lieutenant colonel has warned of a possible "nuclear exchange" if the US breaks out into war with China. China is largely trying to take territorial control, which makes east Asia a likely location for trouble. "Specifically, China would probably favour four principal avenues for marginalising or defeating Australia. "Given the size of the Australia's forces and the logistic constraints on the US forces, a war against China would be a very hard war to fight. Russia, China, Britain, U.S. and France say no one can win nuclear war. Iraq should have taught us that it makes no sense to support an ally in a war it cant win, and the stakes are much higher this time.. Its military planners already expect these to be overwhelmed by missiles in the opening hours of any conflict. Ifthey think the blockade is failing they may declare victory by pointing to the damage already inflicted, or they might escalate to attacking US forces that are supporting Taiwan. Its artificial island fortresses are unsinkable outposts. There are debates today about how reform of the UN is needed to deal with contemporary security challenges but not much progress has been made. But, his hawkish new boss, Defence Minister Peter Dutton, says war with China should not be discounted. The military scenario alone is daunting: China would probably launch a lightning air, sea and cyber assault to seize control of key strategic targets on Taiwan within hours, before the United States and its allies could intervene. If the US went to war with China, who would win? A separatist democracy against a legitimate government? Meia Nouwens from the International Institute for Strategic Studies said Beijing was intent on achieving primacy in the waters that surround China. And they cannot be rearmed at sea. Tensions between China and Taiwan have been escalating for years, with Beijing now sending fighter jets and nuclear-capable bombers into Taiwan's air defence zone on a near-daily basis. It is likely to impoverish us all; it may even kill most of us if it goes nuclear. How this young Indigenous artist is taking inspiration from anime and manga to celebrate his own culture, NBA star Ja Morant suspended, 'takes full responsibility' for nightclub gun video, Andrew Tate shuts down cancer rumors, is accused of recruiting politicians to his cause, 'If carers are going to survive, they need this', says resident pioneering dementia respite care centre. "The question is really about a force-on-force comparison between China and the US. The leaders of both Ukraine and Russia are expected to meet with China's president in the near future. Even with robotic flying tanker support, these enormous ships must operate dangerously close to an enemy before their F-18 Super Hornets and F-35B&C Lightnings are of any use. If the United States cannot control the air, it cannot win either at land or at sea. In a rare joint statement, the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council said it was their primary . Despite its 1.9 million-strong army, compared to Taiwans cohort of 150,000, the task of taking its island neighbour and holding it is a mammoth military challenge.

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